One thing that everyone should know by now is that we do not know how many people actually even HAVE COVID-19 right now. The reason the stay-at-home measures were put in place was to slow the spread. But that does not mean that we will notice a drop off in new cases overnight. Considering we know that it usually takes up to 2 weeks for someone to even know they are sick, this obviously means that we won't really have any idea of the full scope until a full 2 weeks AFTER we implemented the social distancing thing.
Don't listen to your local morning radio show talk show host when he says that the stay at home orders are ineffective and useless. Such information is incorrect and dangerous. Yes, I'm looking at you NJ 101.5.
The numbers here are going to spike in a horrifying manner. And it's going to happen soon. At this point we should all be aware of those facts before getting all freaked out. The damage is done. This is just reporting on how bad that damage is.
You could go directly to the source for this data. But I noticed that the source leaves the single most important stat off the charts. The percentages. Saying that you have 2 deaths may not sound like a big deal. But when you are talking about 4 people, that's 50%!!
The data set here adds those columns to the existing data. The base for this data is sourced from Google's stats page which, according to them is updated every hour. To date, I have been able to refresh MY version at least once a day. Plus I've been working on the visualizations and I've been using the most current data as I go.
Original data from Google, which gets their data from: Wikipedia. The data is owned by them. I claim no ownership. I'm just republishing with a couple of additional columns.
As of 2020-04-07 the number of cases in the US has risen into the ~350k area. As I said before, this spike is not unexpected. In fact by some measures it may not be as bad as predicted. Which would be a nice change from the constant news that is always worse than the last news.
This spike is actually a good thing, from one point of view. Until we know how many cases are out there, we can't know the full scope of the problem, or how long it will take to see the end of the whole thing. This spike gets us one step closer to that.
On the day of 2020-04-05, I started putting together a timeline visualization. And that happened to also be the day that we saw, for the first time, that LESS new cases came in than the previous day. Hopefully that trend will persist. We are going to have new cases. The best we can hope for now is that we have less new cases every day.
This data is taken from Wikipedia in the same manner as the country data above. This data represents the top 10 states by number of confirmed cases.
If you would like to see this data in a more visual format, today is your luck day. I went and grabbed the Public version of Tableau, and made an interactive map of this thing.
As good as I am with Tableau, I've not used the "public" version before. So that is like a super-simple first shot. When I get some time, I'll really spiffy it up.
Original source Wikipedia
Recovery information is now on there too. That was missing from the first data set I was using. For the first time today, I see that we have recoveries in NJ. About time!